Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.411289 0.454027 0.499891 0.552862 0.612475 0.677620 0.754379
2025-06-29 0.338594 0.397018 0.464267 0.547798 0.649327 0.769426 0.923280
2025-07-06 0.287755 0.350737 0.426598 0.525455 0.651978 0.809962 1.024489
2025-07-13 0.263298 0.331398 0.416586 0.532183 0.686808 0.889150 1.178368
2025-07-20 0.243907 0.315475 0.407942 0.537876 0.718504 0.964858 1.333526
2025-07-27 0.228011 0.302074 0.400535 0.543272 0.748702 1.039641 1.493841
2025-08-03 0.213654 0.289160 0.392134 0.545666 0.773713 1.108047 1.650903
2025-08-10 0.202163 0.279047 0.386409 0.550731 0.802154 1.183056 1.825267
2025-08-17 0.187167 0.262701 0.370319 0.538775 0.803212 1.215436 1.933865
2025-08-24 0.179009 0.255570 0.366921 0.545301 0.832858 1.294713 2.128270
2025-08-31 0.169161 0.245181 0.357785 0.541942 0.845991 1.347727 2.282676
2025-09-07 0.161994 0.238297 0.353376 0.545473 0.870277 1.421021 2.481063
2025-09-14 0.152383 0.227196 0.341893 0.536975 0.874147 1.460448 2.623631
2025-09-21 0.144274 0.217955 0.332749 0.531641 0.882957 1.509410 2.790728
2025-09-28 0.133491 0.203821 0.314830 0.510080 0.861154 1.500263 2.840930
2025-10-05 0.129258 0.199959 0.313362 0.516578 0.890171 1.588149 3.099841
2025-10-12 0.125147 0.196025 0.311470 0.522077 0.917630 1.675483 3.369011
2025-10-19 0.121274 0.192242 0.309550 0.527289 0.944824 1.764742 3.654388
2025-10-26 0.117161 0.187809 0.306216 0.529601 0.966477 1.844751 3.929806
2025-11-02 0.113751 0.184376 0.304382 0.534493 0.993500 1.938398 4.250364
2025-11-09 0.107940 0.176489 0.294238 0.522945 0.986376 1.958640 4.396139
2025-11-16 0.105257 0.173928 0.293444 0.529249 1.016325 2.062281 4.764699
2025-11-23 0.101320 0.168942 0.287970 0.526004 1.025936 2.121516 5.028010